nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 16.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+210PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 16.5 (+4.0)
SIGNAL118.0% EV at +210 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.703, market 0.323; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#264
UUID7554982b-56c4-4bc7-b09d-06250fcc496c
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 16:52 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash12f6926538d6b58d38e0d1b2944b14c8783542113a63049aa3651830beab03b3
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