nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 16.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+210PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 16.5 (+4.0)
SIGNAL118.0% EV at +210 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.703, market 0.323; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#270
UUIDde3e00b8-e644-4d34-b925-ea3db0f32cd2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 17:22 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash4d9ce4c99c7239d9465b1c4d34e7cb02e5e1481410221f603fa70dff6a589690
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