nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 15.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+170PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 15.5 (+5.0)
SIGNAL101.8% EV at +170 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.748, market 0.370; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#306
UUID87a7f342-6826-4924-9512-87d64a74661e
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 19:02 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash03164e17fabc56a13e6aa0725ef51cc881563a26708050a2599f15e451d1b974
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