Detroit Pistons ML
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Orlando Magic94
Detroit Pistons116
Winner: Detroit Pistons · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-325
1.3077
Closing
-325
1.3077
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#307
UUIDef8965e7-3c22-4ca4-a299-d55498dd708e
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-03 19:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 22:15 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-03T19:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6a67a12e4ff448b0e110f951cebf396d1064666512a3d9b29d42e023b467bffc
Closing line-325 captured 2026-05-03 19:40 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash60db1c0bbd89dfeac9e42741727075c91cfd476db19f95123fdd07b0a883c3eb
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801