nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 16.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+210PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 16.5 (+4.0)
SIGNAL118.0% EV at +210 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.703, market 0.323; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#310
UUID151f81e5-b7d7-489c-8a25-cb48409cd2eb
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 19:20 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash6ad6aeb253dd62a2e605bf7fd7f15614e078d219195f13990e0744e6942354c2
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