nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 15.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+190PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 15.5 (+5.0)
SIGNAL116.8% EV at +190 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.748, market 0.345; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#316
UUID38d308af-aa8f-4632-b916-e9eee9e8c132
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 19:40 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashca0137e0eb18405ef821621b7c125358eec7983331e1d1e48d9dcc5e6a61e4ae
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