nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-03
Jalen Duren Over 15.5 Points
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
+190PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 20.5 vs line 15.5 (+5.0)
SIGNAL116.8% EV at +190 (bovada); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.748, market 0.345; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#317
UUID073d9aa3-0070-42c4-968c-3ed07de97bb3
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-03 19:52 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash31d25b912a58490281bf459bbb73c1e4c6cb3668da7a9db8d20cf423c9743f04
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