New York Yankees ML
New York Yankees @ Texas Rangers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
New York Yankees4
Texas Rangers2
Winner: New York Yankees · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-162
1.6173
Closing
-168
1.5952
Delta
+1.38%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#34
UUID42f2fc59-5294-4c4b-bf7f-539b053a7ee3
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-04-27 23:36 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 03:01 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash8987bf674a7773b826c418555cdb32322fe47ef9e1f3ac543fe78b85c7d30ec2
Closing line-168 captured 2026-04-28 00:06 UTC
CLV delta+1.38%
Closing hashf9a465ffe19ac47f9830ae1ec7f367576f2930c20654adc86afc8f43db0b815f
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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