Detroit Tigers ML
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Texas Rangers1
Detroit Tigers7
Winner: Detroit Tigers · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-120
1.8333
Closing
-136
1.7353
Delta
+5.65%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#343
UUID84bf4907-272d-4cc9-8c13-6118542d82df
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 22:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824285:2026-05-03T23:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash45d10c393d58f36bd9d1e6a59121eebe23799ba234f8ec59a4b5d083ef5e66b8
Closing line-136 captured 2026-05-03 23:36 UTC
CLV delta+5.65%
Closing hash392250f3188a7b55bc74c1865334aa9e521a59c3123274f8c159dd64a2b49acd
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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