Detroit Pistons ML
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Detroit Pistons88
Orlando Magic94
Winner: Orlando Magic · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-166
1.6024
Closing
-166
1.6024
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#37
UUID42ec74db-766a-470b-815b-aa6c3a3ccff0
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-27 23:40 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 03:01 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-28T00:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf92ca273348b2a8870e5fb1ac58051fd6ccf70ecad261d5af9be0c2a75199801
Closing line-166 captured 2026-04-28 00:10 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash7f81cfba062d591d5e9242312ebb8d25dad0464c41bc0b1384918bf919c8bcca
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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