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mlbPlayerProp.2026-05-04◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 1786ad20

Payton Tolle Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers

-152risk1uwin0.66u
WIN

Stake

1u

Odds

-152

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Over heuristic on Strikeouts (fanduel)

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop surface, over-side default (model fallback)

Risk

Heuristic v0 (model fallback: no historical baseline for this player). Player-prop overs price near 50/50; this is NOT a model edge call. Track CLV.

Related Picks (12)

Audit trail

Pick ID#408
UUIDe6701449-3748-4e3a-a322-bb098676d4c7
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-04 17:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 01:25 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1786ad2079d84f66d12681339a0fad7f7aa652b6cb1afd4898082d5cdb006790

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
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