mlbMoneyline.2026-05-04
Kansas City Royals ML
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-122
1.8197
Closing
-118
1.8475
Delta
-1.50%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#435
UUIDaba57d5b-c123-458a-a388-6a36889e1596
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-04 23:11 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmmlb:824120:2026-05-04T23:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf345bbbfa69217562cf0ed2e7d81bdd67f2caa8b0e164f154fd1f0ad55b66c7e
Closing line-118 captured 2026-05-04 23:42 UTC
CLV delta-1.50%
Closing hashe05da63c055b2c0328139ff96c9dcc51e750606e2803b8f89285cdd66b029e46
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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