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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-04◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED f345bbbf

Kansas City Royals ML

Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals

-122risk1u→win0.82u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-122

Closing

-118

CLV

-1.50%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Cleveland Guardians2
Kansas City Royals6
Winner: Kansas City Royals · 2026-05-04
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-122
1.8197
Closing
-118
1.8475
Delta
-1.50%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#435
UUIDaba57d5b-c123-458a-a388-6a36889e1596
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-04 23:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 01:55 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824120:2026-05-04T23:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashf345bbbfa69217562cf0ed2e7d81bdd67f2caa8b0e164f154fd1f0ad55b66c7e
Closing line-118 captured 2026-05-04 23:42 UTC
CLV delta-1.50%
Closing hashe05da63c055b2c0328139ff96c9dcc51e750606e2803b8f89285cdd66b029e46

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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