mlbMoneyline.2026-05-05
Philadelphia Phillies ML
Athletics @ Philadelphia Phillies
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 8 US books (chosen book: betrivers)
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-200
1.5000
Closing
-219
1.4566
Delta
+2.98%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#455
UUIDfbc074aa-813c-4dbb-9069-2ef90e80fd55
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-05 21:26 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmmlb:823469:2026-05-05T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash438a266611ce460a8d35c9ab5a43edb2f3b21c42560e737c3e47291448efefcb
Closing line-219 captured 2026-05-05 22:41 UTC
CLV delta+2.98%
Closing hash1950b01575077bd552d793fcdc372ad10ccd381accc92a47a0fd99a4a2103ec9
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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