Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
-250risk1u→win0.4u
LOSS
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 71.4% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (draftkings)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#463
UUID0dc84827-a2a2-4261-ad84-5e29cc2222ee
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 23:28 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9655e3f849470934bfcd993579e1cda872ff58f42aa09f1f838df5e5f8c5ac4f
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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