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mlb · Moneyline · 2026-04-28

Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians ML@ -132LOSSESPN box score →

STAKE

1u

ODDS

-132

CLOSING

-143

CLV

+3.43%

SOURCE

AI

/ CLV BREAKDOWN

Posted (american)
-132
Posted (decimal)
1.7576
Closing (american)
-143
Closing (decimal)
1.6993
CLV delta
+3.43%

We posted at -132 and the line closed at -143. Posted decimal / closing decimal - 1 = +3.43%. Positive CLV means we beat the closing number; this is the leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

/ NARRATIVE

EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

/ AUDIT TRAIL

Pick ID#55
UUIDb582d3be-d9a1-4e8d-84d1-6025de631e35
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-28 20:56 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 22:12 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824447:2026-04-28T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash (SHA-256)911f11dd4734a81474def45779b7e7ee96dd58a0b95c61a916a59ebfb640ef05
Closing line-143 captured 2026-04-28 22:11 UTC
CLV+3.43%
Closing hash (SHA-256)feb3427d6fb831f69540ed5455fe3d59ec7a9a5d9118b2d86f79d3a3adae598d
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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