Cincinnati Reds ML
Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Colorado Rockies2
Cincinnati Reds7
Winner: Cincinnati Reds · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-198
1.5051
Closing
-194
1.5155
Delta
-0.69%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#61
UUID35f0489a-4684-4edb-97cf-82b2e8ae40d5
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-28 22:11 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 01:08 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824526:2026-04-28T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcade4e3a6cf29cbd3b5ac73112960ba3e7deb8518a2e391d64af8e91edea8c49
Closing line-194 captured 2026-04-28 22:41 UTC
CLV delta-0.69%
Closing hashea5d8f038e62d336351a6cd4a1fd7ab6f3c4865d175716828e4e9c0dc2f104fa
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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