Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
wnbaMoneyline.2026-05-10🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 0890801f

Chicago Sky ML

Chicago Sky @ Portland Fire

-230risk1u→win0.43u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-230

Closing

-245

CLV

+1.89%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: bovada)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 6d3664)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Chicago Sky priced at **69.7% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ BOVADA -230 ➋ FANATICS -235 ➌ FANDUEL -240
  • 📊 **Last 5** 🏠 POR: 0-2 (LL) <:tm_wnba_chi:1502029544901840977> CHI: 0-2 (LL)

Line movement

-230-245-0.03 dec
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-230
1.4348
Closing
-245
1.4082
Delta
+1.89%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#644
UUID71ebd5ec-0083-4b93-babb-600bdfc5289b
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-10 00:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 03:00 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0890801f7757b6d6b8fd45c06006d610ec2c43617426c293f4cc3c5adee31795
Closing line-245 captured 2026-05-10 01:01 UTC
CLV delta+1.89%
Closing hash302bfbbeb58607721eab9012c4856f13b328cd379c4fca92de8d6557d45956bf

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801