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wnbaMoneyline.2026-05-09🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 92a5149b

Indiana Fever ML

Dallas Wings @ Indiana Fever

-200risk1u→win0.5u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-200

Closing

-245

CLV

+6.52%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betrivers)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Game context

Context signals

  • 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Indiana Fever priced at **66.7% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
  • 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ BETRIVERS -200 ➋ BOVADA -220 ➌ DRAFTKINGS -230
  • 🥊 **H2H this season:** <:tm_wnba_ind:1502029550761283624> IND 0-1 <:tm_wnba_dal:1502029548265410641> DAL 🏟️ Last meeting (2026-04-30): <:tm_wnba_ind:1502029550761283624> IND 80 · <:tm_wnba_dal:1502029548265410641> DAL 95

Line movement

-200-245-0.09 dec
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-200
1.5000
Closing
-245
1.4082
Delta
+6.52%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#588
UUID65b9000e-0db6-4928-bf65-b940a7601470
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-09 16:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 19:24 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash92a5149bc449a38823047d15a3b041bfc810f5c624b72cea234b97252871b33d
Closing line-245 captured 2026-05-09 17:01 UTC
CLV delta+6.52%
Closing hash6f5f2a1a176f0ca622a3747eca0a2b63712bda8c1f62c3c57d146e52186b1f15

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger95.6% hashed
    990 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close58.4% closed
    986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public4 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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