Atlanta Dream ML
Atlanta Dream @ Minnesota Lynx
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
WNBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Game context
Context signals
- 🎯 **Why this favorite?** Atlanta Dream priced at **66.0% implied** to win — book's read on every input (lineups, splits, weather, totals) compressed into one number. Bot's heuristic: take the favorite when the line is firm. Hit-rate over a long sample beats no-edge baseline net of juice.
- 📈 **Best of 13 books** ➊ FANDUEL -194 ➋ BOVADA -200 ➌ BETMGM -200
- 🥊 **H2H this season:** <:tm_wnba_min:1502029561578389717> MIN 0-1 <:tm_wnba_atl:1502029543290966147> ATL 🏟️ Last meeting (2026-05-10): <:tm_wnba_min:1502029561578389717> MIN 90 · <:tm_wnba_atl:1502029543290966147> ATL 91
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#659
UUIDc5b5bd2e-0934-4d31-8239-3a9bbc53286c
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-10 13:26 UTC
Graded2026-05-22 15:27 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfacb08a62f495c19e1168e8d125d23cc0277da5ce506e77b183abb20a916535c
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger95.6% hashed990 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close58.4% closed986 settled picks · 58.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public4 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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