Miami Marlins +2
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 74.7% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Miami Marlins → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#662
UUID4312ae33-9ca6-499e-8293-47091b6c6432
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-10 15:01 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmmlb:823868:2026-05-10T16:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha2ce9bf2c557c1e9ab7bb7b212ee5bac08c866067654dc531f0173422b8d2de6
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