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mlbAlt Spread.2026-06-23◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED c02aacbc

Miami Marlins -1

Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins

-119risk0.75uwin0.63u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.75u

Odds

-119

Closing

+134

CLV

-21.35%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Friendly alt spread at 54.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Miami Marlins → home spread.

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.

Final · Grading detail
Texas Rangers4
Miami Marlins6
Winner: Miami Marlins · 2026-06-23
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-119
1.8403
Closing
+134
2.3400
Delta
-21.35%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1314
UUID25d7f64e-7852-4d6d-9490-7a043f3383b2
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-23 21:26 UTC
Graded2026-06-24 01:32 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823849:2026-06-23T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc02aacbce7eaaed487001e21ee52fae7986505aace43559cb84196e12e0f773f
Closing line+134 captured 2026-06-23 22:42 UTC
CLV delta-21.35%
Closing hashbfedfea870a06eef38738a18eeac19e5c754341511ddd4aeadaa85f133552bb8

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.9% hashed
    1,285 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.2% closed
    1,263 settled picks · 63.2% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public22 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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