Boston Red Sox -1
Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 60.2% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Boston Red Sox → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox6
Colorado Rockies8
Winner: Colorado Rockies · 2026-06-24
Related Picks (16)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-150
1.6667
Closing
-115
1.8696
Delta
-10.85%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1320
UUID119f4076-2eed-4ca5-8139-2598fd326e61
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-24 17:56 UTC
Graded2026-06-24 21:52 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824341:2026-06-24T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdada1dba6a1f7018785344e63941746febad2d14d2915aa186e86bb3bd38daf0
Closing line-115 captured 2026-06-24 19:12 UTC
CLV delta-10.85%
Closing hashca71d7000950e00f7b5be1ecd80ca29ea94c638d9f7b89e3f329db46652be492
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger80.7% hashed1,302 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close64.1% closed1,278 settled picks · 64.1% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public24 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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