Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbMoneyline.2026-07-04🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 84d2911b

Seattle Mariners ML

Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

-173risk1u→win0.58u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-173

Closing

-169

CLV

-0.86%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Toronto Blue Jays0
Seattle Mariners11
Winner: Seattle Mariners · 2026-07-04
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-173
1.5780
Closing
-169
1.5917
Delta
-0.86%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1334
UUID73ffe2a1-ffe9-49b1-ae7e-152514623d27
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-04 18:55 UTC
Graded2026-07-04 22:42 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823118:2026-07-04T20:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash84d2911bae24a84a550cf088d173b1ddd6d82ca5a4d1e500b36e9501b7c28252
Closing line-169 captured 2026-07-04 20:17 UTC
CLV delta-0.86%
Closing hashe8cf0a37da1e436f4b1b54990f294240e18f6333361921bd94c8885ae20eda4e

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801