6-Leg Parlay (6 legs) +1562
MLB · 6 legs
+1562risk0.05u→win0.78u
LOSS
Legs · 6
- +24.2pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #28 vs this prop (-13.4% vs league avg over 290 games)
- +19.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #16 vs this prop (+0.4% vs league avg over 296 games)
- +18.6pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #28 vs this prop (-11.9% vs league avg over 280 games)
- +36.9pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+23.3% vs league avg over 294 games)
- +26.0pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #4 vs this prop (+12.0% vs league avg over 284 games)
- +19.1pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #13 vs this prop (-0.4% vs league avg over 287 games)
Game context
Line movement
+1562+1608+0.46 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
1
Hit rate
0.0%
0-1
ROI
-100.00%
-0.5u
CLV avg
-0.25%
n=1
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (1 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+1562
16.6200
Closing
+1608
17.0800
Delta
-2.69%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#12548
UUID753b4ccd-9063-4e22-9992-fc4899a9ac02
Surfaceparlay-lotto-6
Posted2026-09-22 21:01 UTC
Graded2026-09-23 03:01 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb6eb178640e89171e7a2bd3d84f772a84cc4326c43910aa8745944f3936cc0c8
Closing line+1608 captured 2026-09-23 00:22 UTC
CLV delta-2.69%
Closing hashb4ea29d984d0c5d1c0a7fdbd0025b04089e6291a901550470483934d79bec76e
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger78.1% hashed1,376 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close65.8% closed1,376 settled picks · 65.8% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public0 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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