2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +159
MLB · 2 legs
+159risk1u→win1.59u
LOSS
Legs · 2
- +36.7pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+18.3% vs league avg over 276 games)
- +18.8pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #9 vs this prop (+2.8% vs league avg over 301 games)
Context
(ref: 9e78ce)
Game context
Line movement
+159+141-0.18 decModel Record (30d)
parlay-builder-v1Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
15
Hit rate
37.5%
3-5-7
ROI
+46.73%
+2.36u
CLV avg
+1.57%
n=11
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (15 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (10)
Same slate
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+159
2.5900
Closing
+141
2.4100
Delta
+7.47%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#7599
UUIDb531e8da-2adb-43b1-aafc-40fa54fa65a6
Surfaceparlay-2-leg
Posted2026-09-05 18:35 UTC
Graded2026-09-06 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash99738b361955f416ccc53527d3a70372dcda16b2b4aaababc71ae84ac7d61ab8
Closing line+141 captured 2026-09-05 22:53 UTC
CLV delta+7.47%
Closing hash9d60dfbe35f01880db7d4a9b0705fe5b7e4f3a1f6a28f932e7730a30805457e1
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.5% hashed1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close61.7% closed1,118 settled picks · 61.7% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public18 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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