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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-05🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 7544d5c7

Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 batter_singles

St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies

-165risk0.22u→win0.13u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.22u

Odds

-165

Closing

-165

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 99.9% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +36.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
St. Louis Cardinals7
Colorado Rockies10
Winner: Colorado Rockies · 2026-09-05
Model Record (30d)
Picks
15
Settled
13
Hit rate
66.7%
8-4
ROI
-1.07%
-0.02u
CLV avg
+0.35%
n=11
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (13 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-165
1.6061
Closing
-165
1.6061
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#7591
UUIDa1ffc6b9-b6e6-4682-9e1a-2e459441454a
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-05 18:11 UTC
Graded2026-09-06 06:17 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash7544d5c77c9a73db097aefff6fee0d1308fd1c3602d799b38a545e29e4026bd8
Closing line-165 captured 2026-09-05 22:53 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hashdd2bddc6eab563b9203905bbf862420921bd4e31cf193e9433b3f70927bfc966

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.7% closed
    1,118 settled picks · 61.7% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public18 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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