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nhlAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-20🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 2e8b82b0

Lane Hutson Over 0.5 Points

Montréal Canadiens @ Carolina Hurricanes

-145risk0.13uwin0.09u
LOSS

Stake

0.13u

Odds

-145

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 59.2% implied → +20.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +20.8pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #16 vs this prop (-55.6% vs league avg over 126 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (15)

Audit trail

Pick ID#1000
UUID28aed1e3-a468-46d0-a2d6-109a9ccd9a92
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-20 20:32 UTC
Graded2026-05-22 06:30 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash2e8b82b056f74777175c2507e57a48fadce073383cc27d4b948c70a3b4ec90c7

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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