Under 7.5
Montréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
Edge
Friendly alt under at 79.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 5.5 ≤ 5.5 (low-scoring band) → under.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
NHL alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Montreal Canadiens6
Buffalo Sabres3
Winner: Montreal Canadiens · 2026-05-14
Related Picks (19)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#749
UUID35b99cd0-d4f8-41be-8f8e-37f57b4d54e1
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-14 22:31 UTC
Graded2026-05-15 01:59 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-14T23:00:46.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb90066801a82c5080807e5e229b06881288309a55acf834e7c32d5eedd4ae468
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