Dallas Stars ML
Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Wild4
Dallas Stars2
Winner: Minnesota Wild · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (14)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-126
1.7937
Closing
-125
1.8000
Delta
-0.35%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#85
UUID894b1192-8d54-40b1-9f38-c71a2851318e
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-04-28 23:50 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 02:48 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-04-29T00:20:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash95fa7785be7d1badaecce09f0915c99b92822b5477bb86705b7a1026b2de27e6
Closing line-125 captured 2026-04-29 00:21 UTC
CLV delta-0.35%
Closing hash5b42f189610e6dffddb7be33020d893b3992348f6b503ec9b2315c6faa39ccf3
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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