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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-12🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 3dd170bf

Kayla McBride Over 14.5 Points

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Minnesota Lynx @ Portland Fire

-172risk0.11u→win0.06u

WIN

Stake

0.11u

Odds

-172

Closing

-199

CLV

+5.25%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.2% implied → +16.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+16.8pt EV vs implied
80.0% over last 15 games
Vegas total 185 (WNBA avg 165; high-scoring environment).

Line movement

-172-199-0.08 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

39

Settled

39

Hit rate

68.4%

26-12

ROI

+7.62%

+0.43u

CLV avg

-0.38%

n=38

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (39 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19 WJanelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM@ -1752026-08-19 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -1922026-08-02 LNneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 Assists@ -2192026-08-02 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -2422026-07-31 LMarina Mabrey Over 17.5 Points@ -2222026-07-30 WNatasha Howard Over 5.5 Rebounds@ -2092026-07-28 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2172026-07-28

Same model

LRyan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-23 WSeiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits@ -1792026-08-23 LRoyce Lewis Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-21 WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19

CLV math

Posted

-172

1.5814

Closing

-199

1.5025

Delta

+5.25%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1767

UUID86d199b1-cd01-4a30-9151-6a1ce9cfc155

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-12 15:42 UTC

Graded2026-08-13 05:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash3dd170bfb7616db9aebe05f8b5813fbcf1ff97d560c9d1cb579fd70a1a26cc02

Closing line-199 captured 2026-08-13 01:51 UTC

CLV delta+5.25%

Closing hash41a6d86964f995945848c1d2b3799401cf8d8cc416cc54f17c976625f001164d

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger96.1% hashed
981 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close58.3% closed
981 settled picks · 58.3% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public0 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801