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mlbMoneyline.2026-07-04🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 50f8d821

Cleveland Guardians ML

CHI White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians

-144risk1u→win0.69u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-144

Closing

-148

CLV

+1.12%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=16 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox3
Cleveland Guardians1
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-07-04
Model Record (30d)
sharp-stub-v0Trailing 30-day window
Picks
1
Settled
0
Hit rate
—
ROI
—
CLV avg
—
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (0 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-144
1.6944
Closing
-148
1.6757
Delta
+1.12%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1335
UUIDec9ffd67-47cb-48c3-bdf6-67138592547c
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-07-04 21:55 UTC
Graded2026-07-05 01:52 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824415:2026-07-04T23:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash50f8d8217b91c359ba4cdef4b7d3f7cec495bbe7236a19f9c0c2a655353a881f
Closing line-148 captured 2026-07-04 23:17 UTC
CLV delta+1.12%
Closing hash3a90e3785fd39b7a78cb115196337bf45bc8c7a90e9b03ea9bfe91ea40298f00

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger80.8% hashed
    1,309 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.9% closed
    1,289 settled picks · 63.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public20 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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