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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-24🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 6f153b97

Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

-165risk0.1u→win0.06u

LOSS

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-165

Closing

-162

CLV

-0.69%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 75.2% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +12.9pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

⊞Game context

Context signals

+12.9pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #11 vs this prop (+1.6% vs league avg over 292 games)
75.2% over last 15 games

Line movement

-165-162+0.01 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window

Picks

22

Settled

22

Hit rate

60.0%

12-8

ROI

-5.88%

-0.18u

CLV avg

+1.25%

n=19

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LWashington Nationals ML@ +1752026-09-07 LWashington Nationals ML@ +1792026-09-05 VWashington Nationals ML@ +2002026-09-05 LWashington Nationals ML@ +1892026-09-04 LWashington Nationals ML@ +2482026-09-04 VWashington Nationals ML@ +2452026-09-04 WWashington Nationals ML@ +1252026-08-28 WWashington Nationals ML@ -1192026-08-26 LDaylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits@ -1752026-08-04 WDaylen Lile Under 1.5 Total Bases@ -1802026-08-02

Same model

WTyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-07 LKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-06 WKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-05 LEzequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05 WElly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05

CLV math

Posted

-165

1.6061

Closing

-162

1.6173

Delta

-0.69%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1031

UUID49357a83-a132-4985-ba7f-576449f2850a

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-05-24 20:31 UTC

Graded2026-05-25 02:30 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash6f153b9737eb22c0e0117af65f53e1c31ad01b80791a26237ea03433331be5f4

Closing line-162 captured 2026-05-24 20:32 UTC

CLV delta-0.69%

Closing hash9220d9ae896f8b2073eb16c28d392f244efef8b51df5c820e1186f09d87aa67b

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public11 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801