Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-05🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 4721e415

Marina Mabrey Over 14.5 Points

TOR Tempo @ Golden State Valkyries

-169risk0.12u→win0.07u
LOSS

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-169

Closing

-172

CLV

+0.65%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.8% implied → +17.2pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +17.2pt EV vs implied
  • 80.0% over last 15 games
  • Bayesian-shrunk to 80.0%

Line movement

-169-172-0.01 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
50.0%
8-8
ROI
-24.70%
-0.58u
CLV avg
+1.72%
n=16
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-169
1.5917
Closing
-172
1.5814
Delta
+0.65%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1740
UUID6ef4cb3f-ed6f-4675-936d-62a863528a4e
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-05 00:13 UTC
Graded2026-08-05 05:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash4721e41566c99d6153bea3ca8fc3c7c73019e71ae51c32be25897c7bc0e2cfcd
Closing line-172 captured 2026-08-05 00:49 UTC
CLV delta+0.65%
Closing hash7dc4c9bf98ef819c575fd09a9579a161107287e7c76536afcee1201edaa010bd

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801