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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-01◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED 24e7a2e3

Chicago Cubs ML

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs

-163risk1u→win0.61u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-163

Closing

-149

CLV

-3.45%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN DraftKings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Arizona Diamondbacks5
Chicago Cubs6
Winner: Chicago Cubs · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-163
1.6135
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
-3.45%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#185
UUID6dad20ab-1ae5-408b-bb5b-1576703160f1
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-01 17:05 UTC
Graded2026-05-01 21:14 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824686:2026-05-01T18:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash24e7a2e3672765db998d7735ed8b9be0b5ce9f108f99e3be2e14dc053ba8c02e
Closing line-149 captured 2026-05-01 18:21 UTC
CLV delta-3.45%
Closing hashc0e76686049775fc606e8ff7994d7f0513d2dc31b90dc3ee0835fa189b9ac3e9

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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