nhlMoneyline.2026-05-01
Tampa Bay Lightning ML
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTNHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-115
1.8696
Closing
-120
1.8333
Delta
+1.98%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#193
UUID4abdf8fc-137e-4852-b9e7-9bce289e75c6
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-01 22:40 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-01T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfa7b7384be70ff8b7a546118aaf8d155b14d0c764b6453232cfc5f5cab1896c2
Closing line-120 captured 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC
CLV delta+1.98%
Closing hash3850ae2128c160c39169fcf6f61eb3581add02e70a723a740ac55ff0e167c345
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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