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nhlMoneyline.2026-05-01◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED fa7b7384

Tampa Bay Lightning ML

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Montréal Canadiens

-115risk1u→win0.87u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-115

Closing

-120

CLV

+1.98%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Tampa Bay Lightning1
Montreal Canadiens0
Winner: Tampa Bay Lightning · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-115
1.8696
Closing
-120
1.8333
Delta
+1.98%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#193
UUID4abdf8fc-137e-4852-b9e7-9bce289e75c6
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-01 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 02:20 UTC
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-01T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfa7b7384be70ff8b7a546118aaf8d155b14d0c764b6453232cfc5f5cab1896c2
Closing line-120 captured 2026-05-01 23:11 UTC
CLV delta+1.98%
Closing hash3850ae2128c160c39169fcf6f61eb3581add02e70a723a740ac55ff0e167c345

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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