New York Mets ML
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
New York Mets4
Los Angeles Angels3
Winner: New York Mets · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-112
1.8929
Closing
-110
1.9091
Delta
-0.85%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#210
UUID7b3f169d-dd0a-4d2f-ad83-6d57cbcfdf9b
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 01:09 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 04:16 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc8aa5f6ec46695b50f64ccb91bfc52fdb3ee7a8d2582bcff2478f3dc5183cc74
Closing line-110 captured 2026-05-02 01:39 UTC
CLV delta-0.85%
Closing hasha69cd41975bad7335b03069c33cb66a2a2ee485cb67deb2fa9e93c3e70ed9936
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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