Seattle Mariners ML
Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Kansas City Royals7
Seattle Mariners6
Winner: Kansas City Royals · 2026-05-01
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-142
1.7042
Closing
-136
1.7353
Delta
-1.79%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#216
UUID09de7d20-3591-4d48-a5da-cc7877a384e0
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-02 01:16 UTC
Graded2026-05-02 04:34 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash839bb8248ac80b5075c60056a7654826990f02030a020d0887cfdd969657b08d
Closing line-136 captured 2026-05-02 01:46 UTC
CLV delta-1.79%
Closing hash0bfa43bdf1e38e07440f85557f417fad66f1f8fcad3d3d98a815a906d48fe36f
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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