New York Mets ML
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
New York Mets3
Los Angeles Angels4
Winner: Los Angeles Angels · 2026-05-02
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-126
1.7937
Closing
-122
1.8197
Delta
-1.43%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#251
UUID856d1b8f-b0aa-41ee-9cfc-d5f82e539b55
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 01:09 UTC
Graded2026-05-03 04:34 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash737696feb6c38caabc498d807dfc19eb0ad0cf14da9c4b61aa5092f26aeb06ab
Closing line-122 captured 2026-05-03 01:40 UTC
CLV delta-1.43%
Closing hash48ae9cd7ef9a45f712b1316b220131ab7d345c5ba17b6c1f0358d8afc33782b0
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,244 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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