Chicago Cubs ML
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Arizona Diamondbacks4
Chicago Cubs8
Winner: Chicago Cubs · 2026-05-03
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-158
1.6329
Closing
-171
1.5848
Delta
+3.04%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#274
UUIDdd51b032-f013-4186-bd77-2625fa183f33
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-03 17:51 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 21:05 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824687:2026-05-03T18:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash08010e8e3c2f8b4f4a1f6b1d38a338079e020da028cd34ede7fb8e22fc58a253
Closing line-171 captured 2026-05-03 18:22 UTC
CLV delta+3.04%
Closing hash13ff4529720b25a792df5d63366d05ebf3d1cabdad961bd3db972eda839255e7
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801