Seattle Mariners ML
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Seattle Mariners4
Minnesota Twins11
Winner: Minnesota Twins · 2026-04-27
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-130
1.7692
Closing
-122
1.8197
Delta
-2.77%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#31
UUID63c5d042-568d-4605-aed6-f07f8a17e948
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-04-27 23:11 UTC
Graded2026-04-28 02:31 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823719:2026-04-27T23:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfdc3d2d4b10a97f45e1e47bb48930e746c251c660b824881b7dfa08389919cdc
Closing line-122 captured 2026-04-27 23:41 UTC
CLV delta-2.77%
Closing hashab82b415d0c435cc216a96829d90baa4cf7702a5dc7de3d00e8e3ca8b65cebbf
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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