nhlMoneyline.2026-05-03
Tampa Bay Lightning ML
Montréal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTNHL Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-162
1.6173
Delta
-1.80%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#335
UUID8faac10c-310e-4164-9b1c-3e812b9b6bac
Surfacesharp:NHL
Posted2026-05-03 21:40 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmnhl:proximity:2026-05-03T22:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashbda2e60f0c648e28d401494e4f30c81ce7f954f38b7d2560a552a68b5cc06074
Closing line-162 captured 2026-05-03 22:46 UTC
CLV delta-1.80%
Closing hashc2c9388dd61c93f93cc343becd883176b105a8346b9530be1aefde8ab289fb8d
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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