nbaPlayerProp.2026-05-04
James Harden Over 1.5 3PM
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
+145PENDING
Why we made this pick
EDGEModel expects 3.0 vs line 1.5 (+1.5)
SIGNAL95.4% EV at +145 (draftkings); 5-input edge model
CONTEXTNBA prop · season median × opponent-allowed × pace × usage
RISKModel probability 0.798, market 0.408; CLV-tracked. Single-pick variance still applies.
Audit trail
Pick ID#373
UUID182089db-4aa4-48c3-924e-768ff1155dc4
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-04 00:46 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0007ddb3d964f995f9b0a715dcbadeded35d6ac3475485ed4a830ffa5ef8531a
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