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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-24🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED b4a6f0c5

OG Anunoby Over 4.5 Rebounds

New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers

-175risk0.11u→win0.06u
WIN

Stake

0.11u

Odds

-175

Closing

-185

CLV

+2.01%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +19.2pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics) (ref: 468e83)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +19.2pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #3 vs this prop (+11.7% vs league avg over 162 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-175-185-0.03 dec
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-185
1.5405
Delta
+2.01%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1030
UUID288a5bd0-26c0-49da-80ce-ff7d48f70358
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-24 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-26 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb4a6f0c5973499db1fc68225064508abad11d2a1d35dbdbec68db36c477c97de
Closing line-185 captured 2026-05-25 22:40 UTC
CLV delta+2.01%
Closing hash00d3726041b12edeb2cd66940b31a56ad85de553b35011375e267f54c7c9e62d

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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