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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-25🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED e6aec73b

OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points

New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers

-180risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-180

Closing

-185

CLV

+0.97%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +26.6pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+12.8% vs league avg over 148 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-180-185-0.01 dec
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-180
1.5556
Closing
-185
1.5405
Delta
+0.97%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1033
UUID2e95dd9a-c435-462e-ac45-af5377dacb23
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-25 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-26 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe6aec73b72e18a2dcf8eceab34fa66c9b7ad3b30d15687704ca73b24041bf36e
Closing line-185 captured 2026-05-25 22:40 UTC
CLV delta+0.97%
Closing hash7e293cd67c9c926fa75d74d3967c1aaab5a2f52d98d2c03ebbf55557a13c3aed

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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