mlbMoneyline.2026-05-04
Boston Red Sox ML
Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Why we made this pick
EDGEPre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
SIGNALLineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
CONTEXTMLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
RISKsharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
CLV math
Posted
-116
1.8621
Closing
-126
1.7937
Delta
+3.81%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#426
UUIDd23ec151-aaff-4082-9c77-5bd316ee5a29
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-04 21:41 UTC
Gradedpending
Lineup confirmmlb:824283:2026-05-04T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash3e732e88a71c6aa87778fc60c42937de78bc8babb525bc6a4a8257ecdad926b6
Closing line-126 captured 2026-05-04 22:12 UTC
CLV delta+3.81%
Closing hash7441a7857b8f12ce12669057848eb03f81acf18e7f3e4dd1e6b425c11d1a725b
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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