Porter Martone Over 1.5 SOG
Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers
-245risk1u→win0.41u
LOSS
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 71.0% implied (target 70%) — trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side at friendly rung (draftkings)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (15)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#476
UUID46454b06-0a81-4d0b-ab28-a2cad3916d52
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-05 23:24 UTC
Graded2026-05-08 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfb637254a5fd98a2596185a1d930d4ce61b6e5b3800a9a4e068870b91458eb76
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
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