Paige Bueckers Over 0.5 3PM
Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings
-365risk1u→win0.27u
WIN
Edge
Friendly alt prop at 78.5% implied (target 70%). Low-sample fallback.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side friendly rung (draftkings) (ref: a86143)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Game context
Context signals
- Opp ranks #7 vs this prop (+4.5% vs league avg over 35 games)
- Vegas total 180.5 (WNBA avg 165; high-scoring environment).
- Friendly alt rung at 70% target (low-sample fallback)
Related Picks (17)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#678
UUID5fc33581-32f7-4101-bee8-4fa45a252ea2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-11 20:33 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 04:42 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash36c28317171c84a3ed8209485c5b8cb87b1b574e0247127d968a36eb779406e3
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Why this receipt is trustable
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