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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-22🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED f6b0e723

Jackie Young Over 19.5 Points

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Los Angeles Sparks @ Las Vegas Aces

-173risk0.16u→win0.09u

LOSS

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-173

Closing

-145

CLV

-6.61%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.4% implied → +23.3pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: 12fcb4)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+23.3pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #11 vs this prop (-0.6% vs league avg over 51 games)
86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-173-145+0.11 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

5

Settled

5

Hit rate

40.0%

2-3

ROI

-30.20%

-0.19u

CLV avg

+1.95%

n=5

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (5 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LDearica Hamby Over 1.5 Assists@ -1772026-09-17 WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 WAriel Atkins Over 7.5 Points@ -1652026-08-18 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 LA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1792026-08-13 WNneka Ogwumike Over 14.5 Points@ -1672026-08-11 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 WDearica Hamby Over 11.5 Points@ -1802026-08-09 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08

Same model

WDeWanna Bonner Over 3.5 Rebounds@ -1712026-10-04 LJo Adell Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-10-03 LMarcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-24 WRandy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-23 LRafael Flores Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-23

CLV math

Posted

-173

1.5780

Closing

-145

1.6897

Delta

-6.61%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#12532

UUID4c6f9c9f-2e65-4679-a597-3e29e1524b7a

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-09-22 20:37 UTC

Graded2026-09-23 05:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashf6b0e7232a1c4ba9d4bf4867ff2ef8532b051fb15f047c575f6c4be38f47064b

Closing line-145 captured 2026-09-23 00:37 UTC

CLV delta-6.61%

Closing hash84b2336f7d1ac6c898aff1be9d37656ac69cdab0b8dfadec0f99ccdec918d662

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger78.2% hashed
1,374 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close65.7% closed
1,373 settled picks · 65.7% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public1 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801