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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 4f4edf42

Dearica Hamby Over 1.5 Assists

Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings

-177risk0.16u→win0.09u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-177

Closing

-172

CLV

-1.04%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.9% implied → +22.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: d2f00b)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +22.8pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #9 vs this prop (+0.1% vs league avg over 62 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-177-172+0.02 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
16
Settled
16
Hit rate
50.0%
8-8
ROI
-24.70%
-0.58u
CLV avg
+1.72%
n=16
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (16 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-177
1.5650
Closing
-172
1.5814
Delta
-1.04%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#11122
UUID7e80db77-133a-43cb-9149-3b8f39783889
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-17 21:19 UTC
Graded2026-09-18 03:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash4f4edf42a4c21d53b247486dac8fd983a077c5dd61aa919372bb505cee740552
Closing line-172 captured 2026-09-17 22:52 UTC
CLV delta-1.04%
Closing hash1dcf4729a7fe0418589dce838269dbdec290c35cf7409b1799983338452acfcf

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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