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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-07◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED cdb901fd

Washington Nationals ML

Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals

-124risk1u→win0.81u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-124

Closing

+105

CLV

-11.88%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins5
Washington Nationals7
Winner: Washington Nationals · 2026-05-07
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-124
1.8065
Closing
+105
2.0500
Delta
-11.88%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#502
UUIDa2a495a7-181f-4e23-9a05-5cfe4c77d226
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-07 16:36 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 18:38 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822741:2026-05-07T17:05:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashcdb901fd264b492b87524a48bd7fb06f6c8efa116f43d30bd616d4458f30bc15
Closing line+105 captured 2026-05-07 17:06 UTC
CLV delta-11.88%
Closing hash3fe4dafd7c3b4cf4465b65a7490e00373f0237baf8b2adfd993f85030f0d8184

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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